I'm just extrapolating trends. 16Gb is right now less than half the price that 8Gb was under a year ago. That is, I can easily get 16Gb of SD for about $32, whereas the 8Gb SD I looked for last December cost about $80. 8Gb is generally available for under $20 right now. Do some searches on Amazon for 8Gb SDHC and 16Gb SDHC if you don't believe me.
Do you really think that two years is unrealistic for 32Gb to drop to below $10 given that trend? They've only just come out so prices are unreasonably high, but they're going to plummet to no more than 2x16Gb within a few months. I think it's reasonable to suggest they'll be around $40 within nine months, if not cheaper.
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squiggleslash @ Oct 8th 2008 8:40AM
I'm just extrapolating trends. 16Gb is right now less than half the price that 8Gb was under a year ago. That is, I can easily get 16Gb of SD for about $32, whereas the 8Gb SD I looked for last December cost about $80. 8Gb is generally available for under $20 right now. Do some searches on Amazon for 8Gb SDHC and 16Gb SDHC if you don't believe me.
Do you really think that two years is unrealistic for 32Gb to drop to below $10 given that trend? They've only just come out so prices are unreasonably high, but they're going to plummet to no more than 2x16Gb within a few months. I think it's reasonable to suggest they'll be around $40 within nine months, if not cheaper.