Samsung UK exec says Blu-ray "has five years left"

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Mr. E @ Sep 3rd 2008 6:53PM

Oh boy, here we go again. Well, I can't connect to the original site from my current location, so I don't know if he proposed what he thinks will succeed Blu-ray, but my guess is the typical idea I see bandied about that downloading is going to replace it.

Two reasons why it won't, at least certainly not in only five years:

Bandwidth caps in the U.S. mean that 1080p HD downloads in quantity are out, period. This means that unlimited download HD rentals is out as well, which means we'll still have to own physical media or downloads, or rent physical media if we want to watch a lot of movies at home. I love the idea of being able to watch any movie ever made on demand, but it's not happening in five years, that's for sure.

Downloading movies is not like downloading music. I like downloading music so I can get the three great songs from an album for $3, instead of spending a minimum of $10 on the CD. This cost savings doesn't translate to movie downloads. What am I going to do, download my three favorite chapter stops from a movie? So if I have to pay the same amount to buy a movie via download as get the BD, why wouldn't I opt for the physical copy. If I want to put it on a media server later, I have a built-in backup.

Certainly Blu-ray will be supplanted in the future. Maybe with a solid state alternative? That will still be at least ten years away though.

Lowest Ranked

D-shan @ Sep 4th 2008 7:34AM

hahahaha What?!?!? What do you mean "succeed Blu Ray"?!?!? WTF? It hasn't succeeded at all. Until Blu Ray has a decent share in the market, its not a success at all. At this point its sales are dismal at best as consumers are opting out. The only way this technology survives is if they push hard in the digital storage/PC market AND make it affordable (as flash media is getting cheaper by the day). I'd hardly be waving the Blu-Ray flag at this point.

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XDragon @ Sep 4th 2008 8:57AM

Mr E,
since its clear that very few people understand the situation (i'm not saying you're one of them), I'm giong to re-post a comment from another news bit with the hope that people think before they say things:

Its the same old thing with the haters and fanboys every week!
Look this is how this works period.

Regardless of which format won, the hd format will not be competing with dvd in any way but 1, new releases! That's why blu is doing well and thats why it looks like its not doing well. The week with big movie 1st time releases on both formats always shows a large spike in blu sales. Thats all any new format can do to "compete" with the existing format.
Its very simple and people are making it too complicated because we all define "doing well" differently. Fanboys will always find the good, haters will always find the bad and realistic people see the line between the two. Blu is not competing with dvd, its replacing new release dvds on a going forward basis for people who can enjoy the benefits it has to offer. Few people will buy a new blu release of an old, less then average movie for $25-$30 on blu when its $5-$10 on dvd. People will upgrade their favorite movies to blu and eventually if companies move away from dvd to push blu and as prices come down, thats the only time blu can "take over" dvd. People who expect more from any format replacing dvd simply either don't understand the situation or they are not realistic. As someone who likes technology without being a fanboy or a hater, I can say that blu is performing as expected which is a good thing but it will continue on a slower path until prices come down but it will also improve as hd tvs continue to get a larger share of the market. Hate it or love it all you want, but understand the big picture and understand that hd in general is still not something everyone can afford.
As for me, I'm replacing a handful of favorite movies and buying just the big new releases on blu. If its not a big movie that I know i'll love to watch many times, then I get the dvd.

Highly Ranked

mrdrifter @ Oct 6th 2008 12:10PM

DSHAN - Wow. Open a dictionary and look up the multiple meanings of "succeed." Or you can go to google and type in "definition: succeed"

Here's an excerpt from the first result, 1 being what Me. E meant, and 2 being the only definition you know:

1. To come next in time or succession; follow after another; replace another in an office or a position: She succeeded to the throne.

2. To accomplish something desired or intended: "Success is counted sweetest/By those who ne'er succeed" Emily Dickinson.

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Original post: click here

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Mr. E @ Sep 3rd 2008 6:53PM

D-shan @ Sep 4th 2008 7:34AM

XDragon @ Sep 4th 2008 8:57AM

mrdrifter @ Oct 6th 2008 12:10PM

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