Predi-c-ting that neither side will win is silly, Beta and VHS took YEARS to take off. HDTV has taken longer to take off than had been expected, but it has finally reached the tipping point and adoption is very quick now.
It is true that DVD is "good enough" for many, but this is because people spent decades stuck with quality that was far less and suddenly there was a dramatic improvement. If people had had HDTV for decades with OTA far superior to DVD and suddenly HD-DVD and or Blu-Ray showed up it would be the same experience of awe at being able to have an equal or superior viewing experience.
Don't believe the Digital Transmission hype. There won't be the bandwidth for years, maybe a decade or longer. The big studios are scared to put quality stuff out there even with DRM and the Cable companies are loath to let their internet pipes compete with their bread and butter TV pipes and will shape downloads to prevent full HDTV over internet.
Player costs will come down much more quickly than DVD players did and are starting at a MUCH lower cost point to start with. Once players are can be had for $250 and below, which should happen probably by Christmas this year, they will fly off the shelves. This is when you will see the big adoption rate, at least 20% if not 50% of HDTV owners.
The only real drama here is if HD-DVD can survive till Christmas. If it does we may have to live with both HD-DVD and Blu-Ray for years to come.
"Don't believe the Digital Transmission hype. " - huh? It's already being DONE.
My cable system has tons of movies on demand. It works fine. The future is not on a disk - I agree with Katzenberg. I have a 1080P tv and a HD-DVD drive w xbox 360. My upscaling DVD player is just fine. Most people agree.
Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
DumbSwede @ Mar 29th 2007 10:05AM
Predi-c-ting that neither side will win is silly, Beta and VHS took YEARS to take off. HDTV has taken longer to take off than had been expected, but it has finally reached the tipping point and adoption is very quick now.
It is true that DVD is "good enough" for many, but this is because people spent decades stuck with quality that was far less and suddenly there was a dramatic improvement. If people had had HDTV for decades with OTA far superior to DVD and suddenly HD-DVD and or Blu-Ray showed up it would be the same experience of awe at being able to have an equal or superior viewing experience.
Don't believe the Digital Transmission hype. There won't be the bandwidth for years, maybe a decade or longer. The big studios are scared to put quality stuff out there even with DRM and the Cable companies are loath to let their internet pipes compete with their bread and butter TV pipes and will shape downloads to prevent full HDTV over internet.
Player costs will come down much more quickly than DVD players did and are starting at a MUCH lower cost point to start with. Once players are can be had for $250 and below, which should happen probably by Christmas this year, they will fly off the shelves. This is when you will see the big adoption rate, at least 20% if not 50% of HDTV owners.
The only real drama here is if HD-DVD can survive till Christmas. If it does we may have to live with both HD-DVD and Blu-Ray for years to come.
JeffNLA @ Mar 29th 2007 3:37PM
"Don't believe the Digital Transmission hype. " - huh?
It's already being DONE.
My cable system has tons of movies on demand. It works fine. The future is not on a disk - I agree with Katzenberg. I have a 1080P tv and a HD-DVD drive w xbox 360. My upscaling DVD player is just fine. Most people agree.