Even enthusiasts can't pick the winner
Despite all the predictions, polls, and prognostications from this site (and many others) on which next-generation DVD format will win this format war, even the enthusiasts aren't in agreement. CNET recently completed a survey of early adopters, and the one thread that ties all their responses together is... uncertainty. 81% of responders said they weren't sure which format would win -- despite the very vocal responses we always see in our comments -- and more than half are concerned about compatibility between current and future products. Most people are also at least somewhat cost-conscious, as 74% are concerned about the prices of hardware, and 62% aren't pleased with the costs of next-gen movies and content. In something we haven't discussed much since the formats launched but is still an ongoing concern for those of us without HDCP-protected inputs is copyright (and presumably the ICT flag): almost half of responders worried about copyright restrictions. The one thing no one really seems to care about is availability of content, with less than a third citing that as a problem; or the choice of manufacturers, as despite the vehement opposition some people have to Sony or Samsung, only 20% seemed to care about who makes the boxes.Overall, some interesting responses, especially from the early adopter crowd. I could easily see these types of answers from your average consumer, who doesn't know much about next-gen formats, but to see this from those who are likely to keep up (and read sites like this one) sure doesn't speak well for the future of the formats. Of course, it's almost too late for consumers now, as both formats have launched and are gearing up for the holidays -- and competition beyond -- but we'd sure like to see someone do something about reconciliation or appeasement to the end consumers. Blu-ray Disc Association and DVD Forum, are you listening?




















Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
Andy @ Oct 31st 2006 3:27PM
What I'm doing, since I want blu-ray to win, is, even though I don't have my PS3 (blu-ray player) yet, I'm buying a bunch of blu-ray movies to support blu-ray. The more you support a format and get others to support it as well, the likelier that format will win. Also, I'm buying a few per week so that I don't have to spend a few hundred dollars on PS3 launch just for movies. I think waiting is a bad thing if you like one format, because then you aren't influencing which format wins. Kind of like people who don't vote in elections even if they know which one they want to win.
Dave @ Oct 31st 2006 5:53PM
I dont think hd dvd even stands a chance... Toshiba is still alone while Blu-Ray have 3 players from Samsung, Panasonic and Phillips and waiting for Sony and Pioneer soon...
Also 7 out of 8 movie studios support Blu-Ray.
Ed @ Oct 31st 2006 10:43PM
Wrong.. Toshiba, HP, Xbox, Acer, Fujitsu, LG, Samsung among others all have HD DVD players, laptops, desktops and external drives....I think Blu Ray should die already so consumers aren't confused any longer. And it's been known that Sony already has a hybrid player for "just in case". It's simple, HD TV needs HD DVD.
Steve Jr. @ Nov 1st 2006 2:17AM
Where THE HELL is the HD-A2?
Today is November 1st and no HD-A2 to buy!
WTF is with Toshiba?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!
Deathwish238 @ Nov 3rd 2006 12:20PM
Samsung has an HD-DVD player? Since when? They came out with the first BluRay player
pliepl @ Nov 5th 2006 4:49AM
Im not surprised at all. Money is tight these days. I just find it funny what Blu-ray wants you to shell out to get movies with picture quality just marginally higher than a good DVD transfer unconverted on an HDTV gives. To a lot of people, thatll be sufficient for many years to come. This is why both formats really have to drop their prices if they want to win. HDDVD is ahead of Blu-ray in that respect. They not only have to beat each other but also convince the masses that they need it over DVD. All this chanting about specifications isnt going to do it.
Has anyone here even considered that if the masses could be wowed over with a pretty picture that HDTV adoption would be well ahead of where it is today? The move (picture quality) from analog standard def television shows to digital high definition shows is astronomical in comparison to the move from up-converted DVD to high definition discs. Its only been recently that adoption has surge and guess what, its because of dropping HDTV prices. Coincidence?
If Blu-ray truly wants to have a chance, they need to come down (in prices) where HDDVD is, then they might have a chance. Storage capacity and studio support doesnt decide who will win. Its all that we seem to talk about but its not what will ultimately decide who wins.
Storage capacity: we already know that a feature film in HD can be stored on a 30GB disc. Do we need 50GB? No. Would it be better? Yes. Some of you would probably pay the high premium to have a long feature film on one Blu-ray instead of 2 HDDVD discs thats fine, but most out there would not, especially with that price premium. When you consider just how many (long) movies would require more than 30GB (or in HDDVDs case, multiple discs) it just doesnt make sense to go with Blu-ray with that price premium.
This would only make sense if you were planning to put movies beyond 1080p onto these discs. And since thats probably a decade or more away, Blu-ray just isnt economical.
Studio Support: this is not set in stone. Were already seeing some shifting here with some studios planning to release for both. Its a business; theyre going to go where the customers are regardless of what was vocalized in the beginning.
Blu-ray supporters put way too much stock in these two areas. The trump card is price
Andy:
That is just creepy.
Dave:
Please try to be a little more accurate. I currently only see players from Toshiba and RCA for HDDVD and from Samsung and Philips for Blu-ray. The Panasonic (supposed to release mid-Nov) really isnt something to be boosting about with a price tag of $1300.
Im also not sure how good more players (or more manufacturers for that matter) will be (from either sides) if it doesnt lower prices as well. By the end of the year, Blu-ray is suppose to have players from twice as many manufactures as HDDVD but unless prices for them take a significant drop, it wont do much to help Blu-ray. The point of competition is lower prices and Ive yet to see that from either formats.